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How Much Gold Does China Have?

Topics [ gold ]

TREASURY VIEW

On the 24th of April 2009, China announced that it had increased its gold reserves 75% from 600 tonnes to 1,054 tonnes. What made the announcement unusual was the six year gap in reporting, given the previous two changes were in December 2002 (99.2 tonnes added) and December 2001 (105.7 tonnes added).

In addition, the World Gold Council’s (WGC) quarterly gold reserves reports notes that the purchase of the 454 tonnes took place over the January 2003 to April 2009 period, so it wasn’t a one-off purchase. It is clear China moved from a regular reporting schedule to a more strategic approach.

It has now been 3½ years without any indication from China as to the size of their gold reserves. With imports of gold into China, and gold production within China, having increased significantly over the past few years it raises the question of how much gold has China been accumulating since 2009?

To answer that question, in this Perth Mint Treasury paper we will look at China’s gold mining and importing activities and estimate how much of that is held by the government versus privately.

Download The Perth Mint Treasury paper How Much Gold Does China Have? (pdf 257kb)

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5 Comments

  • September 19 2012

    marks says:

    Thanks, Bron, good research.
  • September 20 2012

    CaptainOverkill says:

    Bron,

    An excellent and timely piece! Thanks very much for putting this together.
  • September 20 2012

    goldpelican says:

    There are rumours that there is a large degree of "under the counter" buying of gold going on - such as a 97% drop in sales of locally mined gold to the Philippines central bank as a result of fly-in fly-out buyers from China - would these sorts of volumes show up in the Hong Kong data?

    Would also be interesting to see the volumes of scrap good being exported from Australia to Hong Kong.
  • September 21 2012

    James says:

    Nice work, Bron; good to know someone's keeping up with this.
  • September 21 2012

    Bron Suchecki says:

    GP,



    That sort of individual buying wouldn't show up in official figures.



    Nick at Sharelynx has all the HK imports/exports with every country - transactions with Australia are not significant. Subscription will get you access to all the data.
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