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Will Silver Break Through $50 An Ounce In 2012?

Topics [ silver bullion prices buy silver ]

WHAT OTHERS ARE THINKING

By Alex Cowie, Editor, Diggers & Drillers 

For years, industrial uses of silver dominated the silver market. It’s used in things like solar panels, electronics, photography and jewellery.

But now, silver is becoming an investor’s metal.

Private ownership has doubled in the last five years to 2.2 billion ounces.

Private Ownership of Silver is Soaring

Source: Diggers & Drillers, GFMS

Today I’ll show how this investor demand will keep pushing up the silver price.

After the big cracks started to appear in the financial system in 2007, the silver market changed.

It took silver away from industrial users. And since investors flocked into the silver market in 2005, Aussie dollar silver has quietly gained an average of 22% a year.

But there’s more in store for silver. Mints can’t keep up with demand. The Perth Mint recently emailed its clients to say: ‘Demand is currently at unprecedented levels, and we have been inundated by high levels of web and telephone traffic from clients all around the world.’

And when I chat with silver miners I keep hearing the same thing: Refiners and miners are ‘extremely keen’ to get their hands on more metal.

So what does this mean for the future price of silver?

We are rewriting the rules by turning silver into an investor’s metal. Instead of the price being a measure of its value in manufacturing, the silver price is becoming a measure of how big a mess the global financial system becomes.

Silver’s only gained 8% in Aussie dollars this year. But silver’s big years – where it’s had gains of 33%, 43% or 58% – have historically followed slow years like this one.

And the silver market is ready for a big jump. I’m convinced silver could rise from $33 to $50 an ounce next year.

Even if silver only continues to rise at its current rate of 22% a year, the price would be $203 an ounce by 2020. And that’s a very conservative forecast.

If you think that sounds outrageous, bear in mind that as of September, the silver price had increased 10-fold in only 10 years.

The case for investing in precious metals, especially silver, has never been stronger than it is today. In fact, it’s one of the top resource plays I recommend for 2012…

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1 Comments

  • December 14 2011

    Billy Black Smith says:

    I think we will crack 50 bucks in 2012.

    As I see it, the stock-markets will crash in Europe, investors will sell gold and silver to cover their margin. They'll do this because they have made good gains on gold and silver over the last few years.

    Once investors can get out of the stock-market, they'll convert their cash from the Euro to USD and of course doing this will make gold and silver take a good dip.

    But, that's jumping from the fry-pan into the fire!

    A run on banks by many investors, could also stop liquidity and of course we could see a banking collapse in Europe just like we saw in the US over the last few years.

    Countries like Germany, may sell some of their gold to bail-out banks and (pay for debt) and of course this may also send precious metal lower, but only temporarily.

    And of course when the smoke settles, what will be left? Who will investors turn to when they realise that the USD are being devalued? Answer...they won't know where to turn except to precious metal.

    2012 and 2013 will be when gold will continue its trend skyward.

    Imo, over the next few months is a good time to buy for what I see as a very bullish outlook for gold and silver in the medium to long term.

    Sure, keep some cash in Aussie banks but it maybe a very good idea to buy precious metal if you don't have any.

    Regards, Billy Black Smith
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